News
GBPNot yet measured

UK Claimant Count / Jobs Report

Mid-month, Tuesday · 07:00 London

The UK labor bundle: claimant count, unemployment rate and wage growth. Wages are the piece the BoE actually watches — pay growth feeds services inflation directly.

Same 7:00 London liquidity caveat as UK CPI: pre-session releases move further per unit of surprise than their US equivalents.

What it measures

The ONS labor bundle: claimant count, the unemployment rate, and average weekly earnings — the wage series being the policy-relevant one.

Why the economy cares

Wage growth feeds UK services inflation directly, which makes this the second-most policy-relevant UK release after CPI itself.

How it maps onto the chart

Hot wages → BoE stays tight → GBP up; cooling wages open the cutting path. Same 7:00 thin-liquidity mechanics as UK CPI, typically at a smaller scale.

Price behavior around the release

Before

Narrow Asian drift, no real pre-positioning structure.

During

Wage number decides the direction; claimant count is mostly noise around it.

After

Moves consolidate quickly unless CPI is due the next morning — the pair of releases together sets the week for cable.

Who lets you trade it

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