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USDElevated · 1.19x

ISM Services PMI

Third business day of the month · 10:00 ET

The services-sector counterpart of the manufacturing PMI. Services are roughly three quarters of the US economy, so this survey often outranks its manufacturing sibling in actual market impact.

Its employment component is one of the better single-release previews of the coming NFP print.

What it measures

ISM's purchasing-manager survey for the services side — roughly three quarters of the US economy. Same 50 threshold, same sub-index structure.

Why the economy cares

The services sector is where US inflation proved sticky, so this survey's prices component reads as a services-inflation proxy between CPI prints.

How it maps onto the chart

Beats support USD and yields; a sub-50 services print is a genuine growth scare because the sector's sheer weight makes contraction there systemic. Measured: ~1.2x baseline.

Price behavior around the release

Before

Similar to the manufacturing twin — modest positioning inside whatever range the 8:30 data left.

During

Single-impulse profile at 10:00 ET with equities participating immediately.

After

Carries more follow-through than manufacturing when it surprises — its employment component also recalibrates NFP expectations for the week.

Who lets you trade it

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Policies verified 2026-08-22 and re-checked weekly. Restricted usually applies to funded accounts only — evaluations are commonly exempt; open the firm's rules for the exact split.